The 2016 Academy Awards: Predictions and Thoughts

Best Supporting Actress: Alicia Vikander appears to be the pick of the litter, even if her performance absolutely belongs in the Leading category. None of the other options really stand out, making me wish the incredible work by Olivia Cooke and Mya Taylor in little independent features hadn’t gone overlooked.

The Nominees: Jennifer Jason Leigh (The Hateful Eight), Rooney Mara (Carol), Rachel McAdams (Spotlight), Alicia Vikander (The Danish Girl), Kate Winslet (Steve Jobs)

Will Win: Alicia Vikander (The Danish Girl)

Could Win: Kate Winslet (Steve Jobs)

Deserved Nominations: Olivia Cooke (Me and Earl and the Dying Girl), Chiara D’Anna (The Duke of Burgudy), Kim Shaw (Animals), Mya Taylor (Tangerine)

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Best Supporting Actor: Here’s where I start to get a little upset. The wrong actor from The Big Short was nominated (should have been Carrell, not Bale). Rylance plays his character like a porcelain clown. Ruffalo simply overacts. Stallone is good, and will probably win for a role he’s become synonymous with. The only one of the bunch that I really believe earned his nomination was Hardy. Just look at the other performances I noted below. None of the most deserving actors were even nominated.

The Nominees: Christian Bale (The Big Short), Tom Hardy (The Revenant), Mark Ruffalo (Spotlight), Mark Rylance (Bridge of Spies), Sylvester Stallone (Creed)

Will Win: Sylvester Stallone (Creed)

Could Win: Tom Hardy (The Revenant)

Deserved Nominations: Michael Shannon (99 Homes), Idris Elba (Beasts of No Nation), Emory Cohen (Brooklyn), Steve Carell (The Big Short), Benicio del Toro (Sicario), Paul Dano (Love & Mercy)

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Best Leading Actress: While the supporting actress options are rather slight, the leading category is packed with some of the year’s best work. I really would have liked to see Blanchett and Lawrence switched out for Regina Casé and Nina Hoss. As for the award, Brie Larson will be taking the stage Sunday night. I actually think Ronan should win, being that she handles the entire movie while Larson has roughly 50% screentime, but both are winners in my book.

The Nominees: Cate Blanchett (Carol), Brie Larson (Room), Jennifer Lawrence (Joy), Charlotte Rampling (45 Years), Saoirse Ronan (Brooklyn)

Will Win: Brie Larson (Room)

Could Win: Saoirse Ronan (Brooklyn)

Deserved Nominations: Laia Costa (Victoria), Nina Hoss (Phoenix), Daisy Ridley (Star Wars: The Force Awakens), Bel Powley (The Diary of a Teenage Girl), Teyonah Parris (Chi-Raq), Regina Casé (The Second Mother)

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Best Leading Actor: Cranston and Redmayne are in here by name and not by merit, taking the place of some spectacular performances. Like the leading actress category, this one is in the bag, and although it’s not the best work of his career, Leonardo DiCaprio proved he’s willing to go to whatever lengths for the sake of cinema.

The Nominees: Bryan Cranston (Trumbo), Matt Damon (The Martian), Leonardo DiCaprio (The Revenant), Michael Fassbender (Steve Jobs), Eddie Redmayne (The Danish Girl)

Will Win: Leonardo DiCaprio (The Revenant)

Could Win: Michael Fassbender (Steve Jobs)

Deserved Nominations: Jacob Tremblay (Room), Jason Segel (The End of the Tour), Michael B. Jordan (Creed), Josh Lucas (The Mend), Kentucker Audley (Christmas, Again)

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Best Director: Cary Fukunaga created a sensational story of child soldiers and should be in here over McCarthy. In a perfect world, George Miller would win for directing a perfect movie. But safe to say this one goes to Inarritu once again.

The Nominees: Adam McKay (The Big Short), George Miller (Mad Max: Fury Road), Alejandro G. Inarritu (The Revenant), Lenny Abrahamson (Room), Tom McCarthy (Spotlight)

Will Win: Alejandro G. Inarritu  (The Revenant)

Could Win: George Miller (Mad Max: Fury Road)

Deserved Nominations: Cary Fukunaga (Beasts of No Nation), Pete Docter (Inside Out), Denis Villenueve (Sicario), Sebastian Schipper (Victoria)

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Best Picture: First off, get Bridge of Spies out of the group. It’s not even a top 50 movie in 2015. Some people are still giving Spotlight a chance, but with only one real potential victory on the evening, I just can’t see it being called the year’s best movie. Same goes for The Big Short, although I think it has the better chance of the two. If it were up to me, it’d be between Mad Max or Room. Expect this to go to The Revenant, most likely the biggest winner of the night.

The Nominees: The Big Short, Bridge of Spies, Brooklyn, Mad Max: Fury Road, The Martian, The Revenant, Room, Spotlight

Will Win: The Revenant

Could Win: The Big Short

Deserved Nominations: Inside Out, Beasts of No Nation, Sicario

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