Best Documentary Feature: Dick Johnson Is Dead, the best doc of the year, wasn’t even nominated, so I’m opting for the most timely picture nominated, although I could just as easily see the lighter My Octopus Teacher taking the statue.

The Nominees: Collective, Crip Camp, The Mole Agent, My Octopus Teacher, Time

Will Win: Time

Could Win: My Octopus Teacher

Should Win: Time

Deserved Consideration: Dick Johnson Is Dead

Best Documentary Short Subject:

The Nominees: Colette, A Concerto Is a Conversation, Do Not Split, Hunger Ward, A Love Song for Latasha

Will Win: A Concerto Is a Conversation

Could Win:  Colette

Should Win: A Concerto Is a Conversation

Best Supporting Actress: All the precursors suggest that Youn will win, but I really wouldn’t count out Maria Bakalova. She’s worked the virtual circuit and I seriously think she gave one of the best performances of the year, and did things very few could even aspire to. I’m not sure she’ll win, but she’d be my pick.

The Nominees: Maria Bakalova (Borat Subsequent Moviefilm), Glenn Close (Hillbilly Elegy), Olivia Colman (The Father), Amanda Seyfried (Mank), Yuh-jung Youn (Minari)

Will Win: Yuh-jung Youn (Minari)

Could Win: Maria Bakalova (Borat Subsequent Moviefilm)

Should Win: Maria Bakalova (Borat Subsequent Moviefilm)

Deserved Consideration: Toni Collette (i’m thinking of ending things), Imogen Poots (Vivarium)

Best Sound: I mean, it’s called Sound of Metal. It has a bunch of nominations. It should win. I hope it will win.

The Nominees: Greyhound, Mank, News of the World, Soul, Sound of Metal

Will Win: Sound of Metal

Could Win: Greyhound

Should Win: Sound of Metal

Deserved Consideration: i’m thinking of ending things, The Vast of Night

Best Cinematography: Mank might take this one with its classic black and white photography, but I feel like Nomadland is destined to take home a few statues, and its panoramic landscapes are truly stunning.

The Nominees: Judas and the Black Messiah, Mank, News of the World, Nomadland, The Trial of the Chicago 7

Will Win: Nomadland

Could Win: Mank

Should Win: Nomadland

Deserved Consideration: i’m thinking of ending things, Minari, Swallow, The Vast of Night

Best Film Editing: The category tends to opt for the flashy. I pray to the almighty that I’m wrong.

The Nominees: The Father, Nomadland, Promising Young Woman, Sound of Metal, The Trial of the Chicago 7

Will Win: The Trial of the Chicago 7

Could Win: Sound of Metal

Should Win: The Father

Deserved Consideration: Borat Subsequent Moviefilm, i’m thinking of ending things, One Night in Miami

Best Visual Effects: I’m not sure a single soul saw all five of these films. I’ll go with Tenet, only because Christopher Nolan tends to fair well here.

The Nominees: Love and Monsters, The Midnight Sky, Mulan, The One and Only Ivan, Tenet

Will Win: Tenet

Could Win: The Midnight Sky

Should Win: Tenet

Deserved Consideration: Wonder Woman 1984

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