Best Documentary Feature: Dick Johnson Is Dead, the best doc of the year, wasn’t even nominated, so I’m opting for the most timely picture nominated, although I could just as easily see the lighter My Octopus Teacher taking the statue.
The Nominees: Collective, Crip Camp, The Mole Agent, My Octopus Teacher, Time
Will Win: Time
Could Win: My Octopus Teacher
Should Win: Time
Deserved Consideration: Dick Johnson Is Dead
Best Documentary Short Subject:
The Nominees: Colette, A Concerto Is a Conversation, Do Not Split, Hunger Ward, A Love Song for Latasha
Will Win: A Concerto Is a Conversation
Could Win: Colette
Should Win: A Concerto Is a Conversation
Best Supporting Actress: All the precursors suggest that Youn will win, but I really wouldn’t count out Maria Bakalova. She’s worked the virtual circuit and I seriously think she gave one of the best performances of the year, and did things very few could even aspire to. I’m not sure she’ll win, but she’d be my pick.
The Nominees: Maria Bakalova (Borat Subsequent Moviefilm), Glenn Close (Hillbilly Elegy), Olivia Colman (The Father), Amanda Seyfried (Mank), Yuh-jung Youn (Minari)
Will Win: Yuh-jung Youn (Minari)
Could Win: Maria Bakalova (Borat Subsequent Moviefilm)
Should Win: Maria Bakalova (Borat Subsequent Moviefilm)
Deserved Consideration: Toni Collette (i’m thinking of ending things), Imogen Poots (Vivarium)
Best Sound: I mean, it’s called Sound of Metal. It has a bunch of nominations. It should win. I hope it will win.
The Nominees: Greyhound, Mank, News of the World, Soul, Sound of Metal
Will Win: Sound of Metal
Could Win: Greyhound
Should Win: Sound of Metal
Deserved Consideration: i’m thinking of ending things, The Vast of Night
Best Cinematography: Mank might take this one with its classic black and white photography, but I feel like Nomadland is destined to take home a few statues, and its panoramic landscapes are truly stunning.
The Nominees: Judas and the Black Messiah, Mank, News of the World, Nomadland, The Trial of the Chicago 7
Will Win: Nomadland
Could Win: Mank
Should Win: Nomadland
Deserved Consideration: i’m thinking of ending things, Minari, Swallow, The Vast of Night
Best Film Editing: The category tends to opt for the flashy. I pray to the almighty that I’m wrong.
The Nominees: The Father, Nomadland, Promising Young Woman, Sound of Metal, The Trial of the Chicago 7
Will Win: The Trial of the Chicago 7
Could Win: Sound of Metal
Should Win: The Father
Deserved Consideration: Borat Subsequent Moviefilm, i’m thinking of ending things, One Night in Miami
Best Visual Effects: I’m not sure a single soul saw all five of these films. I’ll go with Tenet, only because Christopher Nolan tends to fair well here.
The Nominees: Love and Monsters, The Midnight Sky, Mulan, The One and Only Ivan, Tenet
Will Win: Tenet
Could Win: The Midnight Sky
Should Win: Tenet
Deserved Consideration: Wonder Woman 1984
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